WELCOME TO TYPHOON AND WEATHER IMAGERY. THIS BLOG CONTAINS REAL TIME WEATHER, TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES AND IMAGERY, AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST. CONTENTS OF DROP DOWN MENU CAN BE FOUND AFTER PHILIPPINE IMAGERY BELOW (SCROLL DOWNWARD). THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR VISITING THIS SITE. YOU ARE FREE TO MAKE ANY COMMENT(S) OR FEEDBACK(S) ABOUT THIS BLOG.

ACTIVE LOW OR TROPICAL CYCLONES

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ONE-W/AURING

LOW 95S

LOW 97W

LOW 90B

LANGUAGE TRANSLATION

LAS PINAS CITY REALTIME DATA (CREDITS: MANILA OBSERVATORY)

PRESSURE TEMPERATURE RAINFALL WINDSPEED SOLAR RADIATION

PHILIPPINES HIMAWARI SATELLITE IMAGERY (10 MINUTES UPDATE) AND RAINFALL MAP (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

WESTERN PACIFIC HIMAWARI IR IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
WESTERN PACIFIC HIMAWARI DAYTIME VISIBLE IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI 30MINUTES WATER VAPOR LOOP IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI HOURLY FUNKTOP LOOP IMAGERY (RAINFALL) (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI CLOUDTOP IMAGERY (THUNDERSTORMS COURTESY OF THAILAND METEOROLOGICAL DEPT.) (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
BACK TO THERMAL IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)

REAL TIME 3 HOURS UPDATED SURFACE WIND AND 3HRS RAIN. CLICK EARTH TO CHANGE VIEW. CLICK MAP TO KNOW VALUE/DATA
CREDIT: EARTH.NULLSCHOOL.NET

Error: Embedded data could not be displayed.

DOPPLER RADARs (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

PHILIPPINE WEATHER FORECAST

PHILIPPINES WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST

METRO MANILA FORECAST (based on GEFS Ensemble model)
Date [TIME] [UTC] Rainfall (mm)   Temperature (°C)   Windspeed (km/hr)   MSLP (mb)
20.01.2017 12 0   25.3   16.92   1015.1
20.01.2017 18 0   24.6   12.24   1014.6
21.01.2017 00 0   25.6   15.48   1016.2
21.01.2017 06 0   29.3   21.6   1014.4
21.01.2017 12 0   25.5   15.48   1016.6
21.01.2017 18 0   24.3   7.92   1016.2
22.01.2017 00 0   25.5   9.36   1017.5
22.01.2017 06 0   29.3   20.16   1014.7
22.01.2017 12 4.3   24.7   13.32   1016.9
22.01.2017 18 3   24.7   12.24   1015.1
23.01.2017 00 16.6   24.5   13.68   1016.8
23.01.2017 06 17.7   24   22.68   1015.1
23.01.2017 12 1   24.3   28.08   1017.4
23.01.2017 18 1.1   24.2   25.92   1016.2
24.01.2017 00 0.1   25   27   1018.3
24.01.2017 06 0.1   27   29.88   1015.2
24.01.2017 12 0   24.5   21.24   1018.3
24.01.2017 18 0   23.9   18.36   1016.6
25.01.2017 00 0   24.9   21.6   1018.4
25.01.2017 06 0.1   27.6   23.4   1015.2
25.01.2017 12 0   24.2   16.56   1017.5
               
AVERAGE 2.0952   25.38   18.72   1016.30
LIGHT/DRIZZLE            
MODERATE            
HEAVY            
VERY HEAVY            
INTENSE            
TORRENTIAL            

JANUARY 24, 2016 9PM (GOOD FOR 12HRS)

SYNOPSIS: STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH (1024mb) AND SURGE NE WINDFLOW OVER STILL OVER LUZON AND VISAYAS, WIND CONVERGENCE MINDANAO

ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITION

850mb VORTICITY(×10-6/s): +5 (VERY WEAK).

VERTICAL WINDSHEAR(in kt): 20-70kt SSW, MODERATE-VERY STRONG (STEADILY INCREASING for the past 24hrs).

LOW LEVEL INFLOW (CONVERGENCE): 10-15kt LOW LEVEL INFLOW over Northern Luzon and Mindanao (fair ascending air) with weak upper level inflow (descending air) over Southern Luzon

UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW (DIVERGENCE): 10kt UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW Mindanao (pressure steady) with 10kt LOW LEVEL OUTFLOW over Luzon and Visayas (negative feedback)

TROPICAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (in mm tropical moisture): +60mm over Mindanao with drier air over Luzon and Visayas

COLDER THAN -40°C (in % for DEEP CONVECTION): 70-100 over Mindanao (deep convection)

AVERAGE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (SURFACE IN MB): 1012-1024mb

AVERAGE WEEKLY SST INDEX (EASTERN EQUATORIAL PACIFIC): 0.446°C (RISING, +0.25°C)

MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION AMPLITUDE: +1.896 [(MODERATE MJO) PHASE 2 INDIAN OCEAN going DOWN by 0.424]

ANALYSIS AND FORECAST

1. Luzon and Visayas expected to have some passing light to at times moderate rains becoming more pronounce over eastern part, while Mindanao expected to have some scattered thunderstorms activity.
2. Up to 30kt(56km/hr) NE wind expected over Northern Luzon with 25kt(46km/hr) from NE-ENE over the rest of Luzon. 20kt(37km/hr) ENE over Visayas and Mindanao. Coastal waters over Luzon will be rough, becoming moderate to rough over Visayas and Mindanao mostly over eastern section. Sea waters will be dangerous to small type of seacraft due to 2-5meters wave (based on beaufort scale).
3. 24hrs rainfall (SEE IMAGE):
a. +30mm Eastern and Nothern portion of Luzon particularly over mountainous areas of Aurora, Cagayan and Isabela.
b. +15mm over Eastern part of Central Luzon and Eastern Mindanao.
4. 72hrs rainfall (SEE IMAGE):
a. +50mm Eastern and Northern portion of Luzon and Eastern part of Mindanao.
b. +25mm over Bicol, Eastern portion of Central Luzon, Eastern Visayas, Eastern portion of MIMAROPA
5. Overall, colder weather expected and lesser rainfall anticipated for the next 24hrs as drier air (based on recent tropical precipitable water) penetrates across the country due to continues effect of strong surge of NE wind.

FORECAST MODELS/TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE

As of 0600Z,
1. No tropical cyclone expected to develop over the next 5 days, however, there are area of concern (cluster of convections) over at 2-5N, 138-143E, which some models shows a possible weak tropical disturbance formation within 5 days. This is expected to be continuesly be monitored if there will be a chances to persist for the next couple of run

BELOW ARE PHILIPPINE DOPPLER RADAR ANIMATION, 10 DAY FORECAST AND SELECTED PHILIPPINE CITIES 3 DAY RAINFALL FORECAST



METRO MANILA STATION
BAGUIO STATION
APARRI STATION
SUBIC
TAGAYTAY
BALER STATION
VIRAC STATION
CEBU STATION
HINATUAN STATION
SOUTH COTABATO





10MIN CLOUDTOP IMAGERY (FOR THUNDERSTORM CLOUD)

ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY



10 DAYS RAINFALL FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

192HRS

204HRS

216HRS

228HRS

240HRS

PHILIPPINE CHART AND REALTIME WIND


SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AND SURFACE WIND

10 DAYS WIND FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

192HRS

204HRS

216HRS

228HRS

240HRS

RELATIVE VORTICITY (UPDATED EVERY 3 HOURS)

Vorticity is a measure of curvature in atmospheric flow. A positive value indicates counter clockwise motion in the northern hemisphere and lockwise motion in the southern hemisphere. A positive vorticity environment is conducive to storm development.


WESTERN PACIFIC ANIMATED PRECIPITABLE WATER




DISCLAIMER: These are based on forecast models and realtime charts and imageries and not as an official update. Please don't use this as an official forecast unless official agencies issued warnings or updates. All informations and updates are supported by different data gathered from different agencies which well-analyzed by the author. All imageries are real time and only forecast is subject to changes by author.

CREDITS: weather-forecast.com, Naval Research Laboratory, NOAA, WEATHER ONLINE, PAGASA-DOST, CNN WEATHER, CIMSS

Layout and Discussions Prepared by: Jermaine Christopher Gaines (© 2016 All rights reserved)

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TWO FRAME RAINRATE IMAGERY


DMSP SSM/IS RAINRATE

AMSU RAINRATE

NORTH INDIAN OCEAN WESTERN PACIFIC CENTRALPACIFIC
SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC
EASTERN PACIFIC NORTH ATLANTIC
VORTICITY Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C 850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C)MSLP (hPa)

HIMAWARI WESTERN PACIFIC IR TEMPERATURE IMAGERY

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