WELCOME TO TYPHOON AND WEATHER IMAGERY. THIS BLOG CONTAINS REAL TIME WEATHER, TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES AND IMAGERY, AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST. CONTENTS OF DROP DOWN MENU CAN BE FOUND AFTER PHILIPPINE IMAGERY BELOW (SCROLL DOWNWARD). THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR VISITING THIS SITE. YOU ARE FREE TO MAKE ANY COMMENT(S) OR FEEDBACK(S) ABOUT THIS BLOG.

ACTIVE LOW OR TROPICAL CYCLONES

CLICK IMAGERIES TO REDIRECT ON COMPLETE IMAGERIES AND INFORMATIONS (Imageries will be seen after Philippines imagery below)

KHANUN/ODETTE

25W

LANGUAGE TRANSLATION

LAS PINAS CITY REALTIME DATA (CREDITS: MANILA OBSERVATORY)

PRESSURE TEMPERATURE RAINFALL WINDSPEED SOLAR RADIATION

PHILIPPINES HIMAWARI SATELLITE IMAGERY (10 MINUTES UPDATE) AND RAINFALL MAP (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

WESTERN PACIFIC HIMAWARI IR IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
WESTERN PACIFIC HIMAWARI DAYTIME VISIBLE IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI 30MINUTES WATER VAPOR LOOP IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI HOURLY FUNKTOP LOOP IMAGERY (RAINFALL) (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI CLOUDTOP IMAGERY (THUNDERSTORMS COURTESY OF THAILAND METEOROLOGICAL DEPT.) (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
BACK TO THERMAL IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)

REAL TIME HOURLY SURFACE WIND AND RAINRATE WITH VALUE

CREDIT: VENTUSKY

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DOPPLER RADARs (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

PHILIPPINES WEATHER FORECAST

PHILIPPINES WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST

5 DAYS METRO MANILA DATA FORECAST (based on GEFS Ensemble model)    
DATE AND TIME Rainfall (mm)   Temperature (°C)   Windspeed (km/hr)   Direction   MSLP (mb)    
10/16/2017 14:00 3.3   29.3   18.83   ESE   1006.1    
10/16/2017 17:00 2.61   26.7   19.51   E   1006.4    
10/16/2017 20:00 2.38   23.8   21.36   E   1008.2    
10/16/2017 23:00 0.05   23.3   23.52   ENE   1008.2    
10/17/2017 2:00 0.02   22.9   25.43   ENE   1007.5    
10/17/2017 5:00 0.03   22.6   25.06   NE   1007.1    
10/17/2017 8:00 0.01   26.5   25.37   ENE   1007.6    
10/17/2017 11:00 0.02   30.7   23.83   ENE   1007.5    
10/17/2017 14:00 2.33   30.1   23.15   ENE   1005.2    
10/17/2017 17:00 2.26   26.8   26.55   E   1004.7    
10/17/2017 20:00 0.12   24.4   27.10   E   1006.4    
10/17/2017 23:00 0.03   23.8   27.35   ENE   1006.9    
10/18/2017 2:00 0.02   23.3   29.69   NE   1005.5    
10/18/2017 5:00 0.01   23.3   28.27   NE   1004.5    
10/18/2017 8:00 0.02   26.7   26.24   NE   1006    
10/18/2017 11:00 1.12   29.4   27.84   ENE   1006    
10/18/2017 14:00 0   31.2   22.90   ENE   1003.2    
10/18/2017 17:00 0.03   27.1   19.94   E   1003.7    
10/18/2017 20:00 0.09   24.6   24.88   E   1005.8    
10/18/2017 23:00 0.08   24.3   23.64   ENE   1006    
10/19/2017 2:00 0.01   23.7   18.71   ENE   1004    
10/19/2017 5:00 0   23.5   18.46   ENE   1003.8    
10/19/2017 8:00 0   26.7   18.83   ENE   1005.8    
10/19/2017 11:00 0.02   31   12.28   NE   1005.7    
10/19/2017 14:00 3.38   30.4   11.85   NE   1003.5    
10/19/2017 17:00 1.69   27.4   14.82   ENE   1003.4    
10/19/2017 20:00 0.6   24.5   14.20   ENE   1005.4    
10/19/2017 23:00 0.01   23.8   7.41   SE   1006.1    
10/20/2017 2:00 0   23   8.15   N   1004.7    
10/20/2017 5:00 0   22.7   12.84   NW   1004.7    
10/20/2017 8:00 0   26.2   17.59   W   1006.9    
10/20/2017 11:00 0   29.7   22.59   W   1006.7    
10/20/2017 14:00 1.14   28.8   26.79   WSW   1004.6    
10/20/2017 17:00 3.48   26.1   27.78   WSW   1005.6    
10/20/2017 20:00 0.23   24.8   26.98   WSW   1008.1    
10/20/2017 23:00 0.03   24.7   25.62   SW   1008    
10/21/2017 2:00 0.01   24.3   25.13   SW   1005.9    
10/21/2017 5:00 0.02   24.1   22.04   WSW   1006.1    
10/21/2017 8:00 0.03   26.7   19.45   WSW   1007.8    
10/21/2017 11:00 2.25   27.8   19.75   W   1007    
10/21/2017 14:00 1.68   27.5   19.51   WSW   1005    
                       
AVERAGE 0.7100   26.05   21.49   SE   1005.89    
DRIZZLE-LIGHT                    
LIGHT-MODERATE                    
MODERATE-HEAVY                    
HEAVY-VERY HEAVY                    
VERY HEAVY-INTENSE                    
INTENSE-TORRENTIAL                    
                       
ENVIROMENTAL FACTORS    
          DATA       DESCRIPTIONS
850mb VORTICITY(×10-6/s)   50   VERY STRONG  
AVER. VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (in kt)   27.5   MODERATE  
AVER. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE (in kt)   5   LIGHT ASCENDING  
AVER. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (in kt)   10   LIGHT SLIGHTLY DECREASING
AVER. TROPICAL PREC. WATER (MM)   75   VERY MOIST        
AVER. COLDER THAN -40°C   55   DEEP
AVER. SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb)   1006.00   LOW
AVER. WEEKLY SST INDEX ( EASTERN EQUATORAL)   -0.16   NEUTRAL
MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION   1.571   STRONG MARITIME CONTINENT
                       

OCT 16, 2017 8PM (GOOD FOR 12HRS)

SYNOPSIS: ITCZ OVER THE COUNTRY/p>

ANALYSIS AND FORECAST

For Philippines weather, strong ITCZ enhance by TS LAN and another developing low, Central and Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao expected to have scattered thunderstorms while the rest will be generally partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. 30-35km/hr from E expected over Extreme Northern Luzon and sea waters will be moderate to rough and dangerous to small type of seacraft, while 10-20km/hr from different direction expected over the rest of the country and coastal waters will be safe to all type of seacraft

.

Sea surface temperature over Eastern Equatorial Pacific remains neutral, however nearing La-Nina threshold, as MJO amplitude get stronger at MARITIME CONTINENT.

FORECAST MODELS/TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE

As of 1200UTC,
TROPICAL CYCLONE LAN (PAGASA: #PaoloPH; JMA: MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM 1721)
Tropical cyclone Lan continues it slow track as environmental condition remains conducive for possible RI in the next 48-72hrs as poleward channel expected to provide poleward outflow for TS Lan. Within the next 48hrs, tropical storm Lan expected to move slowly more to the NW as the western edge of the Ridge recede due to mid latitude trough over digging over Japan. Within the said 48-72hrs, as tropical storm Lan moves more poleward, possible RI is expected as poleward outflow expected to improve during the said period as it tracks more on higher OHC and warmer SST.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93W INVEST (JMA: NONE)
Remains very weak, 93W invest struggle due to unfavourable upper level environment caused by strong VWS over the area, but the said Shear expected to relax within the next 48-72hrs. Overall, the said system still has low confidence to become a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24hrs.

VORTEX ALERT
An area of vortex based on recent relative vorticity[F], SLP and wind analysis shows it rapidly developing over West of mindoro, this system mentioned in models likely undergoing rapid development as of this time (see imagery) due to this possible 94W invest will be issued and likely to become a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24hrs as vertical windshear are very low at the area with moderate low level inflow, very good upper level outflow supported by 29-30 celsius SST and 75-150KJ/cm^2 OHC.

BELOW ARE 10 DAY FORECAST AND SELECTED PHILIPPINE CITIES 3 DAY RAINFALL FORECAST



METRO MANILA HIMAWARI THERMAL IR IMAGERY

NEW PAGASA RADAR SITE (CLICK HERE) http://meteopilipinas.gov.ph/map.php




10MIN CLOUDTOP IMAGERY (FOR THUNDERSTORM CLOUD)

ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY



10 DAYS RAINFALL FORECAST


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PHILIPPINE CHART AND REALTIME WIND


SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AND SURFACE WIND

7 DAYS GFS WIND FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

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7 DAYS GFS WAVE HEIGHT FORECAST


12HRS

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72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

RELATIVE VORTICITY (UPDATED EVERY 3 HOURS)

Vorticity is a measure of curvature in atmospheric flow. A positive value indicates counter clockwise motion in the northern hemisphere and lockwise motion in the southern hemisphere. A positive vorticity environment is conducive to storm development.


WESTERN PACIFIC ANIMATED PRECIPITABLE WATER




DISCLAIMER: These are based on forecast models and realtime charts and imageries and not as an official update. Please don't use this as an official forecast unless official agencies issued warnings or updates. All informations and updates are supported by different data gathered from different agencies which well-analyzed by the author. All imageries are real time and only forecast is subject to changes by author.

CREDITS: weather-forecast.com, Naval Research Laboratory, NOAA, WEATHER ONLINE, PAGASA-DOST, CNN WEATHER, CIMSS

Layout and Discussions Prepared by: Jermaine Christopher Gaines (© 2016 All rights reserved)

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AYALA ALABANG

TWO FRAME RAINRATE IMAGERY


DMSP SSM/IS RAINRATE

AMSU RAINRATE

NORTH INDIAN OCEAN WESTERN PACIFIC CENTRALPACIFIC
SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC
EASTERN PACIFIC NORTH ATLANTIC
VORTICITY Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C 850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C)MSLP (hPa)

HIMAWARI WESTERN PACIFIC IR TEMPERATURE IMAGERY

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