TODAY IS WELCOME TO TYPHOON AND WEATHER IMAGERY. THIS BLOG CONTAINS REAL TIME WEATHER, TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES AND IMAGERY, AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST. CONTENTS OF DROP DOWN MENU CAN BE FOUND AFTER PHILIPPINE IMAGERY BELOW (SCROLL DOWNWARD). THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR VISITING THIS SITE. YOU ARE FREE TO MAKE ANY COMMENT(S) OR FEEDBACK(S) ABOUT THIS BLOG.

ACTIVE LOW OR TROPICAL CYCLONES

CLICK IMAGERIES TO REDIRECT ON COMPLETE IMAGERIES AND INFORMATIONS (Imageries will be seen after Philippines imagery below)

CHAN-HOM/FALCON/09W

LINFA/EGAY/10W

NANGKA/11W

LANGUAGE TRANSLATION

2015 NUMBER OF WESTERN PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES (CLICK TO SEE DATA):SIX (06)

LAS PINAS CITY REALTIME DATA (CREDITS: MANILA OBSERVATORY)

PRESSURE TEMPERATURE RAINFALL WINDSPEED SOLAR RADIATION

PHILIPPINES REALTIME SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RAINFALL MAP (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

(CLICK IMAGERY TO ANIMATE)

WESTERN PACIFIC THERMAL IR IMAGERY (UPDATED EVERY 10 MINUTES)


Error: Embedded data could not be displayed.
Error: Embedded data could not be displayed.

DOPPLER RADARs (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)


REAL TIME 3 HOURS UPDATED SURFACE WIND AND PRESSURE. CLICK EARTH TO CHANGE VIEW. CLICK MAP TO KNOW VALUE/DATA
CREDIT: EARTH.NULLSCHOOL.NET
Error: Embedded data could not be displayed.

PHILIPPINE WEATHER FORECAST

PHILIPPINE WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST

JULY 7, 2015 10AM (NEXT 24HRS)

SYNOPSIS: TC LINFA (EGAY) AND SOUTHWEST MONSOON OVER THE COUNTRY

METRO MANILA

Generally cloudy with 85% chance of scattered to occassional monsoon rain

WIND FORECAST: WSW TO W at 25-35kph

LUZON

Generally cloudy with 65% chance of scattered to occassional monsoon rain, becoming frequent over Northwestern Luzon

WIND FORECAST: 35-65kph over Northwestern Luzon becoming 25-40kph W to SW over the rest

VISAYAS

Generally cloudy with 50% chance of scattered monsoon rain

WIND FORECAST: WSW at 20-30kph

MINDANAO

Partly cloudy with 46% chance of isolated rainshower and/or thunderstorms

WIND FORECAST: SSW to SW at 15-25kph

MODEL FORECAST

TC LINFA (EGAY) intensified a bit as it moves very slowly northward. Model suggest this system to weakens as TC chan-hom moves towards Northern Taiwan. Possible merging still at chance by +72hrs.

TC CHAN-HOM intensified further and latest satellite shows eye now visible at VIS/IR imagery. GFS model shows this system to reach supertyphoon status, category 5 at +48hrs with peak winds at 261kph. Possible landfall over Northern Taiwan/Eastern China by +108hrs as 252kph max windspeed.

TC NANGKA continues to intensify and now appears stronger than TC Chan-hom. Although no DCI as of the moment, it might somehow, affect the speed of TC Chan-hom. GFS shows this system to reach Supertyphoon category 4 by +60hrs at 216kph.

ALERT

BATANES GRP.

BASED ON GFS FORECAST MODEL        
AS OF 1800UTC        
TROPICAL CYCLONE CHANHOM        
HOURS        
TIME 12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120            
FORECAST MAX SURFACE WIND (IN KPH) 144 144 162 189 198 153 180 63            
FORECAST MAX WIND AT 850MB/LOWER TROPOSPHERE (IN KPH) 207 207 207 261 261 234 252 81            
AVERAGE WINDSPEED FROM SURFACE TO LOWER TROPOSPHERE 176 176 185 225 230 194 216 72            
CATEGORY (BASED ON 850MB) TY3 TY3 TY3 STY5 STY5 STY4 STY5 MTS            
LOCATION 18N136E 19N134.5E 20N133E 21N131E 23N129E 24N126E 26.5N122E 27.5N119.5E            
                             
TROPICAL CYCLONE LINFA        
HOURS        
TIME 12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120            
FORECAST MAX SURFACE WIND (IN KPH) 72 54 45 54 45 0 0 0            
FORECAST MAX WIND AT 850MB/LOWER TROPOSPHERE (IN KPH) 90 72 63 72 63 0 0 0            
AVERAGE WINDSPEED FROM SURFACE TO LOWER TROPOSPHERE 81 63 54 63 54 0 0 0            
CATEGORY (BASED ON 850MB) STS MTS SD MTS SD NONE NONE NONE            
LOCATION 21N119E 21N119E 22.5N119.5E 23N119E 22.5N118E 0 0 0            
                             
TROPICAL CYCLONE NANGKA        
HOURS        
TIME 12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120            
FORECAST MAX SURFACE WIND (IN KPH) 126 126 117 144 153 162 171 171            
FORECAST MAX WIND AT 850MB/LOWER TROPOSPHERE (IN KPH) 171 180 180 207 216 207 234 243            
AVERAGE WINDSPEED FROM SURFACE TO LOWER TROPOSPHERE 149 153 149 176 185 185 203 207            
CATEGORY (BASED ON 850MB) TY2 TY3 TY3 TY3 STY4 TY3 STY4 STY4            
LOCATION 13.5N154E 15N152E 16N150E 17N148E 19N146.5E 19N145E 21N143E 22N141E            
 

RAINFALL FORECAST DATA AND PROBABILITY PERCENTAGE (3 DAYS OVER SELECTED CITIES): SEE DATA BELOW

LUZON 7-Jul 8-Jul 9-Jul
BATANES 13.9 27 29.4
CALAYAN ISLAND 6.4 30 10.4
ITBAYAT 22.7 25 28.4
ALABAT 1.2 4.9 12.1
APARRI 1.1 22.1 8.8
TUGUEGARAO 30.2 4.9 15.4
LAOAG 26.8 33.3 18.9
BAGUIO 29.9 40.2 65.1
DAGUPAN 78.8 51.2 58.9
CASIGURAN 13.1 16.9 15.1
BALER 0 1.1 7.5
CABANATUAN 34.3 25.3 31.1
TAYABAS, QUEZON 0 19 29.9
SUBIC 31.2 77.4 88.1
METRO MANILA 22 72.1 76.8
SANGLEY POINT 29 94.1 99.6
AMBULONG, BATANGAS 13.5 30.2 45.5
DAET 1.6 1.5 3.6
CATANDUANES 0 0 14.3
LEGASPI 3.6 7.2 20.5
SAN JOSE, MINDORO 40.8 44 53.3
CALAPAN, MINDORO 0 9.1 24.4
MASBATE 1.9 0 10.3
ROMBLON 38.7 44.7 51.1
CUYO ISLAND 2.9 6.6 14.2
CORON ISLAND 1.1 10.2 12.6
PUERTO PRINCESA 17.4 16.9 16.7
VISAYAS 7-Jul 8-Jul 9-Jul
CATARMAN, SAMAR 0.1 0 11.4
CATBALOGAN 7.7 0 8.6
TACLOBAN CITY 2.4 1.5 1
ROXAS CITY 3.5 3 13.3
ILOILO 15.3 10.1 31.8
DUMAGUETE 5.6 2.7 6.1
CEBU CITY 0 0 0
MACTAN 0 0 0
MINDANAO 7-Jul 8-Jul 9-Jul
MALAYBALAY 16.9 9.8 18.1
BUAYAN, MAGUINDANAO 0.4 0.7 1.6
DAVAO 0 0 16.1
DIPOLOG 21.3 11 23.1
COTABATO CITY 0.7 0.3 1.9
HINATUAN 11.9 17.5 10.6
LUMBIA, MISAMIS ORIENTAL 2 0 1.7
SURIGAO CITY 0.1 0 0.2
ZAMBOANGA CITY 10 32 15.1
       
LEGEND (in millimeters)
LIGHT <7.5mm
MODERATE <22.5mm
HEAVY <45mm
VERY HEAVY <57.5mm
INTENSE <90mm
TORRENTIAL >90mm
       
RAIN PERCENTAGE PROBABILITY
       
LUZON 7-Jul 8-Jul 9-Jul
BATANES 80.00% 95.00% 80.00%
CALAYAN ISLAND 65.00% 85.00% 55.00%
ITBAYAT 75.00% 95.00% 65.00%
ALABAT 60.00% 70.00% 60.00%
APARRI 55.00% 60.00% 55.00%
TUGUEGARAO 55.00% 55.00% 55.00%
LAOAG 95.00% 95.00% 95.00%
BAGUIO 70.00% 90.00% 95.00%
DAGUPAN 65.00% 90.00% 90.00%
CASIGURAN 70.00% 60.00% 85.00%
BALER 40.00% 65.00% 70.00%
CABANATUAN 60.00% 95.00% 95.00%
TAYABAS, QUEZON 20.00% 65.00% 70.00%
SUBIC 85.00% 95.00% 95.00%
METRO MANILA 85.00% 80.00% 80.00%
SANGLEY POINT 70.00% 90.00% 90.00%
AMBULONG, BATANGAS 70.00% 95.00% 95.00%
DAET 55.00% 55.00% 65.00%
CATANDUANES 30.00% 15.00% 65.00%
LEGASPI 55.00% 55.00% 80.00%
SAN JOSE, MINDORO 90.00% 95.00% 95.00%
CALAPAN, MINDORO 45.00% 70.00% 85.00%
MASBATE 45.00% 45.00% 70.00%
ROMBLON 65.00% 75.00% 85.00%
CUYO ISLAND 90.00% 95.00% 95.00%
CORON ISLAND 95.00% 90.00% 95.00%
PUERTO PRINCESA 75.00% 75.00% 70.00%
       
VISAYAS      
CATARMAN, SAMAR 45.00% 15.00% 60.00%
CATBALOGAN 55.00% 30.00% 55.00%
TACLOBAN CITY 60.00% 55.00% 65.00%
ROXAS CITY 55.00% 55.00% 70.00%
ILOILO 55.00% 55.00% 80.00%
DUMAGUETE 65.00% 65.00% 80.00%
CEBU CITY 35.00% 25.00% 35.00%
MACTAN 35.00% 30.00% 40.00%
       
MINDANAO      
MALAYBALAY 55.00% 60.00% 65.00%
BUAYAN, MAGUINDANAO 60.00% 55.00% 55.00%
DAVAO 10.00% 5.00% 55.00%
DIPOLOG 55.00% 55.00% 60.00%
COTABATO CITY 40.00% 60.00% 60.00%
HINATUAN 55.00% 55.00% 55.00%
LUMBIA, MISAMIS ORIENTAL 45.00% 45.00% 45.00%
SURIGAO CITY 40.00% 30.00% 30.00%
ZAMBOANGA CITY 55.00% 80.00% 70.00%
       

NOTE: RAIN PERCENTAGE PROBABILITY means a percentage of chance of rain in specific area (also known as Probability of Precipitation). example, Metro manila: 20.00mm moderate at 70%. This means metro manila has a 70% chance of rain and 30% chance of dry with possible amount of 20mm within a period given. However, if this will be the data, Metro manila: 0mm none at 30%. This means although there is 30% chance of rain and 70% chance of dry, the amount of rain is unknown or unsetteled.

BELOW ARE REAL TIME SATELLITE IMAGERIES, PHILIPPINE DOPPLER RADAR ANIMATION, 10 DAY FORECAST AND SELECTED PHILIPPINE CITIES 3 DAY RAINFALL FORECAST



REAL TIME SATELLITE IMAGERY

REAL TIME FUNKTOP ANIMATION (Highlights intense areas of precipitation)


-30°C: +2.5mm; -50°C: +5mm; -70°C: +15mm; -85°C: +25mm; -95°C: +35mm; -110°C: +50mm

REAL TIME WATER VAPOR ANIMATION




REAL TIME PRECIPITATION


METRO MANILA STATION
BAGUIO STATION
APARRI STATION
SUBIC
TAGAYTAY
BALER STATION
VIRAC STATION
CEBU STATION
HINATUAN STATION
SOUTH COTABATO



10 DAYS RAINFALL FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

192HRS

204HRS

216HRS

228HRS

240HRS

PHILIPPINE CHART AND REALTIME WIND

10 DAYS WIND FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

192HRS

204HRS

216HRS

228HRS

240HRS

RELATIVE VORTICITY (UPDATED EVERY 3 HOURS)

Vorticity is a measure of curvature in atmospheric flow. A positive value indicates counter clockwise motion in the northern hemisphere and lockwise motion in the southern hemisphere. A positive vorticity environment is conducive to storm development.


WESTERN PACIFIC ANIMATED PRECIPITABLE WATER




REALTIME OUTGOING LONG WAVE RADIATIONS

DISCLAIMER: These are based on forecast models and realtime charts and imageries and not as an official update. Please don't use this as an official forecast unless official agencies issued warnings or updates. All informations and updates are supported by different data gathered from different agencies which well-analyzed by the author. All imageries are real time and only forecast is subject to changes by author.

CREDITS: weather-forecast.com, Naval Research Laboratory, NOAA, WEATHER ONLINE, PAGASA-DOST, CNN WEATHER, CIMSS

Layout and Discussions Prepared by: Jermaine Christopher Gaines (© 2015 All rights reserved)

THREE FRAME RAINRATE IMAGERY

DMSP SSM/IS RAINRATE AMSU RAINRATE TRMM RAINRATE
NORTH INDIAN OCEAN WESTERN PACIFIC CENTRALPACIFIC
SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC
EASTERN PACIFIC NORTH ATLANTIC
VORTICITY Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C 850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C)MSLP (hPa)

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
DARK RED-ORANGE: DRY; WHITE-MULTI COLOR: MOIST

TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK

TROPICAL CYCLONE STAGE BASED ON DVORAK IMAGERY

TO ESTIMATE CURRENT INTENSITY
STAGEDESCRIPTIONINTENSITYSEA LEVEL PRESSURECI NUMBER
0WARNING15kt/28kph1008mb0
1 TC FORMATIONALERT20kt/37kph1004mb1.0
2 DEPRESSION MINIMAL25kt/46kph1002mb1.5
3STRONG 30kt/56kph1000mb2.0
4 STORM MINIMAL35kt/65kph997mb2.5
5STRONG45kt/83kph991mb3.0
6INTENSE55kt/102kph984mb3.5
7 TYPHOON CATEGORY 165kt/120kph976mb4.0
81-277kt/143kph966mb4.5
92-390kt/167kph954mb5.0
103102kt/189kph941mb5.5
114115kt/213kph941mb6.0
12 SUPER 4127kt/235kph924mb6.5
135140kt/259kph898mb7.0
14 INTENSE 5155kt/287kph879mb7.5
15 5170kt/315kph858mb8.0

NOTE: CATEGORY 1 (64-83KT); CATEGORY 2 (84-96KT); CATEGORY 3 (97-113KT); CATEGORY 4 (114-135KT); CATEGORY 5 (136+KT)

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UPDATED ONCE EVERY 5 MINUTES. GLOBAL SATELLITE VIEWS ARE UPDATED ONCE EVERY 3 HRS. CALENDAR DAY HIGHLIGHTED IN ORANGE, WITH FEDERAL HOLIDAY IN GREY/GREEN BOXES. SUN ACTUAL POSITION SEEN WITHIN THE MAP